Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.871484 4.332966 4.834164 5.419995 6.087295 6.825261 7.705281
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.237714 3.856252 4.576770 5.482158 6.595128 7.925805 9.648026
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.818619 3.516344 4.372967 5.510394 6.993474 8.878651 11.483491
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.455849 3.177663 4.101534 5.383667 7.137240 9.481159 12.901144
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.212691 2.953839 3.937015 5.354792 7.376810 10.202585 14.531918
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.008884 2.755523 3.777398 5.301563 7.557628 10.838764 16.092996
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.920928 2.704747 3.810442 5.514858 8.131695 12.091169 18.719055
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.784715 2.570038 3.707089 5.510655 8.369656 12.849057 20.648926
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.656702 2.434766 3.588308 5.466520 8.532823 13.495035 22.460660
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.481964 2.214496 3.321818 5.164051 8.245912 13.369757 22.919325
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.402505 2.134075 3.263629 5.187837 8.494721 14.160006 25.091959
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.359532 2.106895 3.285875 5.343270 8.978001 15.400501 28.249535
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.293310 2.039400 3.240680 5.385920 9.277930 16.364282 31.050950
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.230706 1.973189 3.192320 5.418388 9.562421 17.331462 34.001786
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.171839 1.908626 3.141146 5.439971 9.826630 18.286152 37.062248
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.093500 1.805282 3.015219 5.313758 9.795200 18.653560 38.908985
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.037901 1.737259 2.945696 5.285028 9.948141 19.404350 41.708581
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.983318 1.667299 2.867488 5.232522 10.046923 20.050860 44.360820
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.970796 1.671350 2.923193 5.442660 10.701654 21.954037 50.301640
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.929362 1.620081 2.872891 5.438516 10.906086 22.893148 54.018200
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.885813 1.562147 2.806011 5.395033 11.020905 23.641647 57.366205
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.813547 1.446468 2.621964 5.097012 10.550207 22.985973 56.908440
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.785286 1.412368 2.593241 5.120449 10.799129 24.055735 61.302529